Good News Report
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The Good News Report
from Real Estate by John DiMassa
I know it?s been a while since I wrote you! I have been super busy keeping my sales up despite all the real estate changes going here this last year.
Since starting real estate in 1978, I have lived through a few of these market turmoil?s! This one is pretty big. Below is my take on what happened since I started selling real estate.
My first one! The 1980 market! One reason for this downturn in real estate was caused by a court decision that stopped banks from getting their loans paid off when a house was sold. Basically, every home?s loan was assumable. Banks could not make money when homes sold. So, they just raised rates on the new loans to make up for their losses. This was when fixed rate interest rates rose to over 17% on mortgage loans. Prices went down and foreclosures up. I thought my career was over! But, Congress stepped in and passed a law that said banks can enforce their ?Due on Sale? clause, interest rates dropped, the economy improved and the real estate market improved over time.
The 1990 market mess! This was caused by a couple things. This may sound familiar. Banks let buyers just state their income! They did not even verify jobs, check on income or down payment. Now, you had to put a least 10% down back then but, some creative (or criminal) real estate agents and lenders set up ways for buyers to get their down payments back at the close of escrow. This allowed people to buy with zero down! Well, this was illegal. As soon as the economy cooled down partly because of California?s vanishing aero-space industry, some could not make their payments. Then, values dropped and we had the big down turn in buying activity. Home values dropped and some went to foreclosure. The FBI investigated these activities and several agents and lenders lost their real estate licenses. Some even went to jail! Again, once the economy improved and more jobs came to California, the real estate market improved and home values went up again.
Here we are...2008! Now, what the heck happened? It?s actually very simple. At several points in time, (it started around 1994) our government gave banks the okay to lend money for home loans to people whose credit was lower than normally required as a way to help everyone who wanted to buy a home, buy. In addition, they let people simply state their income and the banks required no job verification! And, no down payment was required. You could buy a house with bad credit, no job and just tell the bank whatever income was needed to make it look like you could afford it. Crazy! Now of course, everyone took advantage of it, builders, banks, real estate agents, buyers, sellers and just everyone that could, did! Well, this time it was even bigger. Way bigger! Banks approved 4 TRILLION dollars in bad loans! 4 TRILLION!!! Congress had plenty of warnings but (of course) the politicians ignored them.
Now, Wall Street gets involved and they start selling bonds against the 4 TRILLION dollars in (bad) loans to get more and more money lend. They thought it would never end. So, they issued more bonds against the 4 Trillion. Other banks and investment firms invested in these bonds. Insurance companies like AIG insured these bonds.
As soon as these bad credit buyers stopped making their payments, the whole system crashed. The bonds were worth nothing and the 4 Trillion was soon worth less. Now we have real high numbers for foreclosures. Investigations are starting and of these Wall Street types will go to jail.
So, this was and is the problem. The solution started months ago. No more 100% loans at all! Banks now verify everything about buyers today and they must be able to afford the payment.
Are homes selling? YES! The numbers of sales are up 28% higher than the same time last year. Prices are declining in some areas. Some areas more than others! The number of sales is higher and I suspect in time, real estate prices will recover. Hopefully everyone learned some important lessons this time. Maybe threes a charm!
Some lenders are offering loan modifications. Call your lender and see what you can work out with them. I hear some people have come out with much better loan terms.
The way I see it! My kids are healthy, my wife still likes me (I think) and I get to do a job a truly enjoy. Please call me if you need anything or have questions. (310) 261 6268
The Secret to Buying Foreclosure or Bank Owned Real Estate
I?m often asked ?How can I buy property in foreclosure?? It?s relatively simple, but there are many, many things to consider. You?ll need to have cash available. There is no financing on these types of sales. You?ll need a cashier?s check made out in an amount equal to what you are willing to pay for the property. The banks publish a date when properties are going up for auction or sale. You?ll have a few weeks to get prepared. Then it?s off to the courthouse steps to bid for the home. There will be other bidders and the competition is stiff. A couple of the bidders are fierce competitors. These are the professional foreclosure buyers looking to make money off buying low and hoping they can fix it and sell them fast for a profit. The more people at the auction, the higher the price of the property may go. This is why you?ll want to do your homework well in advance. All sales are final. There are no after sale contingencies at all! Your homework may include? What?s the property worth today? What repairs are needed? Is there anything really big wrong with it? Unfortunately, the properties are often occupied and you never get a chance to see inside and do the proper inspections. So, it comes down to what risks you?re willing to take. Some other things to consider may be?Are you acquiring any liens on the property? How about any tenants or the former owners? Are they still occupying the home? Most are very spiteful and literally destroy the interior and/or exterior, costing you $1000?s of unexpected repairs. Will you have to evict the occupants and what are the costs involved? Will you be able to refinance it to get your cash out of it? After factoring in all the above points?Are you still getting a good deal? Once, you?ve done your homework and know what you?re bidding on and feel somewhat comfortable with your conclusions, you move forward and bid. It?s very risky. It can be a rough way to go and you can lose money if your planning and/or assumptions are wrong or off a little.
Now, if the home isn?t sold at auction the lender gets it back. They normally price them very competitively, often below the market and sell them through real estate agents like me. These are called bank-owned or REO (real estate owned). listings. Before offering these homes for sale, they remove the occupants and make sure they can transfer a clear title to the new buyer. These often are offered at better prices to make up for any repairs that may need to be done. As a buyer, you get to complete all the physical type inspections you need and want. Financing is available on these purchases like any other home you?d buy. These REO?s offer buyers the benefit of getting a good value along with a lot less risk and hassle. Plus, you have the Realtor?s help and experience to assist you with the proper inspections, financing and legal disclosures.
If you have interest in buying a bank-owned property or REO, please call me and let?s go over all the details. My name is John DiMassa. Contact me now at Century 21 Amber Realty in Torrance at (310) 261 6268 or email me at John@soldbyc21.com.
Should I wait to Buy?
There are many homes for sale that will not sell because these homes are over priced and of course, these get ignored, but should they be? Because there are many for sale, now is the time to write the lower offers. These sellers may surprise you and accept. It just comes down to this, are you ready and can you recognize a good or great deal when you see it? Most people can not. They wait, then buy when everyone else is and end up paying more because they waited too long. Even this though is not horrible. Real estate prices will continue to go up. In my area over the last 30 years, real estate prices, in the South Bay, Torrance, Redondo, Manhattan Beach etc. has gone up around 700%! The only big mistake people make is they sell too soon. You must wait and be able to pay those payments for at least 7 to 10 years. Here is where the big money can be found.
I would consider these things. Area and location. Great price, the best ever, but on a busy street and/or in a bad neighborhood. It's up to you. That good deal may not be so good when you go to sell. Should you buy right now? I can educate you on my local market and then you decide. Call me at (310) 261 6268, email me John@soldbuyc21.com or go to www.johndimassa.com. See you soon!
More about...
Everyone speculated when real estate would stop rising so fast. Over the last couple of years people would give me their best predictions, many were way off. If you guessed 2006, you were most likely correct. A lot us bought homes in the last couple years and every once in a while, we may worry that we paid too much. Well, consider this?
I have seen this before, in 1981-1982, real estate prices were at an all time high. Prices for homes in South and West Torrance sold around $125,000. I remember how bad the market appeared to everyone then. Now, let?s fast forward to 1989-1990. Another peak real estate market with the same houses averaging $350,000. Looking back, don?t we all wish we bought more back then?
In 2006, the same type of home (as in 82 for $125,000 and in 90 for $350,000) was going for $725,000 to $750,000! I suspect, in a few years, we?ll look back at 2006 and wish we all bought more real estate just like we wish we did earlier. Seems crazy doesn?t it? It probably is, but we?ll be all the better for taking the risk and buying, even in at a peak market!
Is it a good time to sell? Is it a good time buy? YES! If it makes sense for you to do it! Yes, it is! Prices have adjusted. Rates are still low and there are some real good values out there. If you are thinking about it, let?s meet and I?ll give you my professional opinion and help you figure it out! Let me know.
Sensational News
There has been some huge and sensational news about the shake down in the Home Mortgage business. There are two primary places lenders get their money to lend. One source of their funds comes from a tried and true source that has been in place for a very long time. They are known in the industry as "conforming loans". They will lend up to $417,000 with secondary financing available to accomodate higher prices. These loans allow buyers to buy homes with as little as 5% down. These sources are still very strong and rates are still in the 6.5% range. This area is not affected at all and is going along just fine. Of course and unfortunately, most news organizations do not report the good side of the story.
The problem areas have been major investors willing to do loans that have higher risk factors. Loans with 0% or very little down payment, self employed type buyers with no or little verification of income, lower credit scores and other fundamental lending practices being ignored are the cause of the bad loans. Some of these loans probably should not have been done in the first place. A lot of them, across the Country, are experiencing higher than normal default rates and foreclosures. As these loans start to default, investors start losing money and pull out of these programs. Some large mortgage companies that dedicated their business to this segment of the market are out of or going out of business.
The future buyers that are affected by this are the ones with lower than "normal" credit scores, self employed type people without verifiable income, etc. Once these lenders/investor type people start to realize and narrow down what the did wrong, they'll come back to the market and these loans, with some stricter guidlines, will become available. Then things will become more "normal" in the lending arena. I hope this clears things up for you. Let me know if you have any questions. Just Click Here for any questions or comments you would like to make or call me (310) 261-6268. Check out these articles.
Overall, real estate is selling. Prices in the South Bay have declined little and are very good. There have been some very good deals out there. It is and always has been a long term investment. Future appreciation along with tax benefits and pride of ownership will continue to make real estate a winning activity in the long run. I can help you!
Only 1.8% will end up in foreclosure. 98.2% are fine!
When reading or listening to the news the other day, they make it sound like every other home is in foreclosure and prices are going to drop 10% to 50% in the next 6 months. Wow! It's so amazing on what's being reported. Here are some facts, not fiction. According to real estate?s National Association, in California, only 1% of homes today are going to foreclosure. ONE PERCENT! Not 50%, not 10%, not every 3rd home, just 1%. This is only 10 homes out of 1000 that end up going back to the bank. Banks are not dumb either. They?ll list them with real estate brokers, like me and sell them at their market?s value. This is nothing to worry about and real estate in not like the stock market!
The state with the highest foreclosures is Mississippi. It has the largest number of defaults too. Defaults are people who are just behind on their home payments and in Mississippi it's at 10%. These are still relatively low figures. However, in California, our default rate here is just at 3.3%. These again are people behind with their payments not losing their homes in foreclosure.
Real estate is selling! In the last few years, we?ve had the highest number of home sales ever! The most homes sold compared to any other time! We are just heading to a ?Normal? market. Interest rates are still in the 6% range and buyers with a little down can still buy homes all day long. Have things changed? Sure they have, we?re just off the all the time highs! That?s all there is to it.
The right time to sell or buy just depends on if it is the right time in your life to do it. Let me supply the information, you decide! Let me know if I can help! You call me anytime.
John (310) 261 6268
January 3, 2007
Prices will not drop like the stock market. It's just not the same. Everyone predicted a huge drop in home values last year and it did not happen. In Torrance, the average sales price for all the homes sold in 2005 was $734,000. In 2006, the average sales price was $744,000. It is certainly not going up like the past few years, but it is certainly not crashing.
Buying nows offers you lower rates, better prices, more choices and the ability to negociate sales prices down. Plus, buy now and save big money with interest rate deductions. This alone can save you thousands of dollars per year! In the long range future, history has taught us prices will go up! You have to live some where, stop making your landlord rich and start owning it!
posted 11/21/2006
WAITING FOR THE CRASH? Despite all the bad news in the press about real estate, people are buying and selling homes! In the last 10 months, homes have sold only a little lower than the asking price. The average asking price to sales price reduction in all of Torrance was only 3%! Homes with the largest reductions were probably never priced right from the beginning. I have seen some homes that ended up selling up to 10% less than the asking price, but the average is just 3%. Sellers today just have to be more realistic about their asking prices.
THE NUMBER?S FOR TORRANCE. Here is how the numbers look in Torrance for 2006 so far, compared to 2005?s based on our local multiple listing service.
|
January 1 to October 31 - |
2005 |
2006 |
|
Average selling price |
$731,441 |
$749,363 |
|
Number of homes sold |
683 |
614 |
|
Average days for sale |
17 |
33 |
It is good news. Small increase in price, few less sales and a little longer to sell! Overall, the real estate market is looking pretty good to me!
WHY BUY NOW?
Largest selection of homes!
Sellers are more willing to negotiate!
Interest rates are still very low!
Huge tax advantages!
No down, low down and many other financing terms are still available!
If Selling, you will save on your next purchase!
STILL WAITING FOR A CRASH? You will lose buying power. Here?s how. Let?s say you financed $500,000 today to buy a home at 6.25%, your payment would be $3078. If rates go up to just 7%, in order to keep the same payment, you could only get a loan for $468,000. If they go to 7.5% the loan goes down to $440,000! You lose buying power. You have the best opportunity today to buy.
Call me for an appointment now! You can reach me directly at (310) 261-6268.
Is Real Estate Really Falling?
posted 9/07/06
Here are the facts; In the South Bay, The Number of Sales during the time frame of January 1 to August 15, 2005 there were 4,467 sales. During the same time period this year there were 3,825. That?s 14% less. Big deal! This is not horrible or bad news.
Now, what about prices? This year comparing the prices using the above time periods, prices are UP 7%. It not 17% or 70% but it?s a respectable increase.
There are a lot of reasons to buy a home. Keeping them for a very long time is the most profitable. Trading up makes sense because your using the equity you have to buy something else.
Right now, this week?s rates for a 30 year loan are running at 6.125. `This is great news!
Is now a good time to make a move? Yes, it is! Rates are good and values are good. Home ownership is winner. Tax right off, pride of ownership, keeping home Depot in business etc, these are just some of the reasons to own.
We are here to help. Let us know. Please let us know If someone you know is looking to buy or sell. Call us at (310) 261 6268 or email us at mail@soldbuyc21.com.
Benefits of Homeownership
posted 4/14/06
It's Tax Time yet again and the California Association of REALTORS? (C.A.R.) decided to take a closer look at the benefits that go along with homeownership with respect to the consumption and tax benefits. We dived into the tax benefits of homeownership, as well as other of benefits being homeowners. Let?s take a look how this affects homeowners this tax season.
In the midst of tax season, homeownership reaps well-established tax benefits. Homeowners not only enjoy a roof over their heads, they have a long-term nest egg investment and are able to save on their taxes because of it. Because of the Mortgage Interest Deduction (MID) portion of the Federal tax law, homeowners are allowed to reduce their taxable income by a sizable amount. But how much do homeowners actually save? By how much more do they save in taxes over their renting counterparts?
In the last several years, we have seen homeowner?s equity gains?in other words, ?return-on-investment??rise steadily with an average return of over 20 percent per year because of record increases in home prices. Make that comparison with your stock portfolios or even your 401k performance, and real estate has offered quite a good return on your investment.
Yet along with home equity gains and overall appreciation, there are other huge tax advantages to owning your own home?interest & property tax deductions. For example, a homeowner who has purchased a home at the median price in 2005 would have paid $524,020 for that home. With property taxes at the going rate of about 1 percent of the property value, the property tax deduction for that home would be approximately $5,240 a year. In the first 12 months the interest paid on that home loan would total $24,470 (Interest calculated assuming a 20% downpayment with 5.87 percent fixed-rate mortgage ? Freddie Mac). Therefore, that homeowner?s total MID and property tax deduction for the first year of homeownership would be $29,700. If the owner falls in the marginal 25 percent tax bracket, the total tax savings in the first year of owning the home would be around $7,430 ($29,700 interest paid & property taxes multiplied by the 25 percent marginal tax bracket). The IRS allows the homeowner to deduct the entire amount of interest paid on a home loan up to $1,000,000 ($500,000 if married filing separately) as long as the owner includes Schedule A on IRS 1040, the loan is in the owner?s name, and the mortgage is secured by collateral (usually the home itself?IRS Publication 936). The long-run tax savings would be over $36,000 if the homeowner holds onto that home for five years (assuming no change in the tax bracket).
Put differently, the current tax system helps homeowners because it makes homeownership more affordable. For example let?s take a look at two different households. One is a first-time buying household who bought their home during 2005 for $445,400 (assuming 85 percent of the median price in California for 2005). After accounting for mortgage interest and property tax deductions, their taxable income would be $87,150. Assuming these new homeowners had no other deductions their total taxes owed to the IRS would be approximately $15,120 (for married filing jointly). Now let?s look at a renting household with the same earnings and marital status. Its taxable income would be $105,000, higher than that of the buyer because they do not have any mortgage interest or property taxes to deduct (assuming the standard deduction for 2005 of $10,000). Under these same assumptions (holding all else constant), the renter household pays approximately $19,580 in taxes. Because of the interest and property tax deduction, homeowners are able to reduce their taxable income and achieve almost $4,500 in tax savings.
As we have seen, homeownership reaps tax benefits. Yet, homeownership has benefits beyond the checkbook or 1040 forms. High and stable homeownership rates contribute many important social benefits by boosting the quality of living areas such as education and civic involvement while lowering the crime rate and welfare dependency. (Source: NAR?s Social Benefits of Homeownership and Stable Housing). As homeowners, you not only reap the many advantages when tax season comes around, but also bask in the social benefits homeownership brings to your community.
To learn more, please contact us (310)261-6268.
2005 California housing market eclipses previous records
LOS ANGELES (Dec. 28, 2005) ? The California residential real estate market in 2005 will be one for the record books, eclipsing the annual sales and median home price records set in 2004, according to the California Association of REALTORS? (C.A.R.). Here are some highlights from 05 and a look ahead to 2006:
- Sales of detached, existing single-family homes are expected to reach 635,000 in 2005, an increase of 1.8 percent over last year?s record sales of 624,700. Sales are anticipated to decline by 2 percent in 2006.
- 2005 will be a record year for home prices. The median price of a single-family home in California crossed the $500,000 threshold for the first time in April 2005. The annual median is expected to reach $523,150 in 2005 and increase 10 percent to $573,500 in 2006.
- The median price of a single-family home increased by double-digits for the fourth consecutive year in 2005, though the pace of price appreciation slowed from the 18 to 21 percent annual gains of the previous three years to 16 percent in 2005.
- California Association of Realtors?s Unsold Inventory Index averaged 3.3 months in 2005. Inventory levels are expected to rise moderately in 2006 but will remain low by historic standards, fueling continued price appreciation in the California market.
- The interest rate for a Fixed-Rate Mortgage (FRM) remained below 6 percent for much of 2005, only surpassing 6 percent in the last months of the year. For all of 2005, the FRM averaged 5.8 percent. In 2006, the interest rate for the FRM is projected to increase but remain low by historic standards in the low- to mid-6 percent range.
Leading the Way...Realtors in California real estate for 100 years, the California Association of REALTORS? is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States, with more than 180,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.
2006 Housing Market Outlook
Low interest rates and new loan products have unleashed the state?s demographic forces in recent years and enabled the California housing market to reach new heights 4 years in a row. The state is poised to establish new records for sales and the median price in 2005, stretching the longest housing market uptrend to ten years. The market and economic fundamentals of recent years will remain mostly intact in 2006, giving rise to a cautiously optimistic outlook for the year to come.
So what lies in store for 2006? The market and economic conditions that gave rise to an outstanding 2005 performance will generally prevail again in the year to come and contribute to another very good year:
? Steady but moderate economic growth accompanied by improvements in the labor
market and low inflation
? Rising but still very favorable interest rates along with continued use of innovative real
estate financing options.
? Current and long-run demand forces continuing to encounter supply constraints
With inflation in check, fixed rates in 2006 should increase only slightly and fall in the low- to mid-6 percent range. Adjustable rates, which rose moderately in 2005 in response to increases in the federal funds rate, should also increase slightly in 2006. Overall, the interest rate environment will remain favorable for the year. However, with high home prices, more and more households will need to stretch their purchasing power with innovative forms of financing in order to buy a home in 2006.
While the unsold inventory index is expected to increase somewhat in 2006, current inventory levels will remain lean enough to drive continued price appreciation in the year ahead. Meanwhile, new home building will again fall short of household growth in 2006, resulting in a long-run housing shortfall that will contribute further to higher home prices.
John DiMassa
P: (310) 261-6268 | F: 310.602.1163
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